Premier League

It uses the results we know today. After either team plays again, its form, scoring record and strength update. A game several days away can therefore have a different forecast later.

“Required model inputs are unavailable” means the data provider has not supplied a score we need, or a fixture may have been rescheduled. We pause that team’s forecast until the gap is resolved.

A prediction change is the new probability minus the original one: moving from 50% to 55% is an increase of 5 percentage points. Getting closer to kickoff does not itself guarantee better accuracy.